I can’t tell what the hybrid element is from the description above (and I hope there is one), but this does look like potentially impactful research.
I think it is hybrid because it involves both forecasting and persuading others to think differently about their forecasts.
Of course! I must engage my brain from time to time. I was drawing an automatic comparison to the Hybrid Forecasting Competition, which aimed to leverage “the relative strengths of humans and machines”. That one was interesting. https://www.dni.gov/index.php/newsroom/press-releases/item/1785-iarpa-launches-hybrid-forecasting-competition-to-improve-predictions-through-human-machin
I can’t tell what the hybrid element is from the description above (and I hope there is one), but this does look like potentially impactful research.
I think it is hybrid because it involves both forecasting and persuading others to think differently about their forecasts.
Of course! I must engage my brain from time to time. I was drawing an automatic comparison to the Hybrid Forecasting Competition, which aimed to leverage “the relative strengths of humans and machines”. That one was interesting. https://www.dni.gov/index.php/newsroom/press-releases/item/1785-iarpa-launches-hybrid-forecasting-competition-to-improve-predictions-through-human-machin