They are relatively cheap (~$2M/​year) and are working on a unique intervention that on the face of it seems like it would be very important if successful. At least as far as I’m aware there is no other (EA) org that explicitly has the goal of creating a global early warning system for pandemics.
By the logic of it being valuable to put the first few dollars into something unique/​neglected I think it looks very good (although I would want to do more research if it got close to winning).
Unfortunately, a lot of the organizations listed are very cheap. For example, I don’t want to be too confident but I think that Arthropoda is going to have <$200k nearly certainly.
I think it’s a shame the Nucleic Acid Observatory are getting so few votes.
They are relatively cheap (~$2M/​year) and are working on a unique intervention that on the face of it seems like it would be very important if successful. At least as far as I’m aware there is no other (EA) org that explicitly has the goal of creating a global early warning system for pandemics.
By the logic of it being valuable to put the first few dollars into something unique/​neglected I think it looks very good (although I would want to do more research if it got close to winning).
Unfortunately, a lot of the organizations listed are very cheap. For example, I don’t want to be too confident but I think that Arthropoda is going to have <$200k nearly certainly.
I have no views on whether NAO should be higher ranked, just noting that some of this is currently being done by governments, e.g. the UK Government has recently unveiled plans for an early warning system for pandemics: https://​​www.gov.uk/​​government/​​news/​​uk-to-create-world-first-early-warning-system-for-pandemics