See my comment on that post for why I don’t agree. I agree nuclear extinction risk is low (but probably not that low)[1]. ASI is really the only thing that is likely to kill every last human (and I think it is quite likely to do that given it will be way more powerful than anything else[2]).
See my comment on that post for why I don’t agree. I agree nuclear extinction risk is low (but probably not that low)[1]. ASI is really the only thing that is likely to kill every last human (and I think it is quite likely to do that given it will be way more powerful than anything else[2]).
But too be clear, global catastrophic / civilisational collapse risk from nuclear is relatively high (these often get conflated with “extinction”).
Not only do I think it will kill every last human, I think it’s quite likely it will wipe out all known carbon-based life.