I feel like I might pull back on (1) by maybe 20% or so but the general ethos I still want to convey.
The part I didn’t do as good a job of conveying is that most people won’t donate out of risk aversion or keeping their options open and I think people are also far overestimating their odds of pivoting their career into a government role, especially in the next 3 years.
Even if you accept that the Trump administration wouldn’t hire anyone who has ever donated to a Democrat, this is the first time this has happened and thus you shouldn’t assume this type of thing is going to be common.
All in all, I think it’s going to be quite rare that someone shouldn’t make political donations.
I feel like I might pull back on (1) by maybe 20% or so but the general ethos I still want to convey.
The part I didn’t do as good a job of conveying is that most people won’t donate out of risk aversion or keeping their options open and I think people are also far overestimating their odds of pivoting their career into a government role, especially in the next 3 years.
Even if you accept that the Trump administration wouldn’t hire anyone who has ever donated to a Democrat, this is the first time this has happened and thus you shouldn’t assume this type of thing is going to be common.
All in all, I think it’s going to be quite rare that someone shouldn’t make political donations.