If you want to do this, I think you should also be confident the money you save now and donate later will have an impact that is just as big as the money you would donate right now if you hadn’t saved it. I do not have a strong opinion on this myself, but if you think the current moment is especially influential (e.g. hinge of history hypothesis) and donations made right now could have an especially large impact, this might influence your decision.
This post explains a framework for thinking about these questions. It’s about AGI timelines but maybe the framework explained there could have wider applicability, and it also has a lot of references.
If you want to do this, I think you should also be confident the money you save now and donate later will have an impact that is just as big as the money you would donate right now if you hadn’t saved it. I do not have a strong opinion on this myself, but if you think the current moment is especially influential (e.g. hinge of history hypothesis) and donations made right now could have an especially large impact, this might influence your decision.
This post explains a framework for thinking about these questions. It’s about AGI timelines but maybe the framework explained there could have wider applicability, and it also has a lot of references.