Thank you for jumping in and joining the discussion! I’m particularly excited to read more into the Berkeley Vulnerability Initiative, just to understand the project’s larger goals and techniques.
I think, as per other comments, that determining whether something is hyped or not is pretty subjective, but I do feel that my main prediction, that carefully scaffolded harnesses and systems would be reliably pumping out Mythos-class vulnerability discoveries by the end of the year, is pretty clearly already true.
I do think its clear that progress in AI offensive cyber capabilities is a real and present concern—I find myself actively worrying about the digital money in my bank accounts—so, I would consider that a valid takeaway from Mythos and subsequent developments. We are clearly very close to a situation where AI progress could endanger a lot of our digital infrastructure, if it just had the funding and someone with bad motivations to push it. That’s a big change from how I perceived the world one year ago, and seems worth being excited about it.
It also, to the technical point of this discussion, seems to be a capability gain that is gated on model intelligence, or at least, that’s how it looks to someone like me, with a naïve picture of the current state of model training/​development.
Thank you for jumping in and joining the discussion! I’m particularly excited to read more into the Berkeley Vulnerability Initiative, just to understand the project’s larger goals and techniques.
I think, as per other comments, that determining whether something is hyped or not is pretty subjective, but I do feel that my main prediction, that carefully scaffolded harnesses and systems would be reliably pumping out Mythos-class vulnerability discoveries by the end of the year, is pretty clearly already true.
I do think its clear that progress in AI offensive cyber capabilities is a real and present concern—I find myself actively worrying about the digital money in my bank accounts—so, I would consider that a valid takeaway from Mythos and subsequent developments. We are clearly very close to a situation where AI progress could endanger a lot of our digital infrastructure, if it just had the funding and someone with bad motivations to push it. That’s a big change from how I perceived the world one year ago, and seems worth being excited about it.
It also, to the technical point of this discussion, seems to be a capability gain that is gated on model intelligence, or at least, that’s how it looks to someone like me, with a naïve picture of the current state of model training/​development.