I think it does make some sense for unemployment though as at least some proportion of people will forsee becoming unemployed either because they think they’ll get fired or because they are dissatisfied with their jobs to the point they want to quit.
The data on being disabled it is a bit more troubling, but (without having read the report) one reason might be that this was official registration (or even official diagnosis) for disability which, for disabilities with slow onset (arthritis, some disabling diseases like MS, etc..), there would perhaps be a period of discomfort and pain before becoming officially disabled. Keep in mind that only some proportion of subjects need to have slow onset conditions to skew the average toward a negative dip before diagnosis (governmental or medical)
FWIW, some disabilities you might seen coming—if you have a worsening health state, say—and I think the analysis didn’t have data on what was causing the disability, so it’s a bit hard to say.
Good point.
I think it does make some sense for unemployment though as at least some proportion of people will forsee becoming unemployed either because they think they’ll get fired or because they are dissatisfied with their jobs to the point they want to quit.
The data on being disabled it is a bit more troubling, but (without having read the report) one reason might be that this was official registration (or even official diagnosis) for disability which, for disabilities with slow onset (arthritis, some disabling diseases like MS, etc..), there would perhaps be a period of discomfort and pain before becoming officially disabled. Keep in mind that only some proportion of subjects need to have slow onset conditions to skew the average toward a negative dip before diagnosis (governmental or medical)
FWIW, some disabilities you might seen coming—if you have a worsening health state, say—and I think the analysis didn’t have data on what was causing the disability, so it’s a bit hard to say.