I’d argue that cheaper higher animal welfare and alternative proteins in X years suggest that interventions will be more cost-effective in X years, which might imply that we should “save and invest” (either literally, in capital, or conceptually, in movement capacity). Do you have any thoughts on that?
I agree they could be cheaper (in relative terms), but also possibly far more likely to happen without us saving and investing more on the margin. It’s probably worth ensuring a decent sum of money is saved and invested for this possibility, though.
Your 4 priorities seem reasonable to me. I might aim 2, 3 and 4 primarily at potentially extremely high payoff interventions, e.g. s-risks. They should beat 1 in expectation, and we should have plausible models for how they could.
I agree they could be cheaper (in relative terms), but also possibly far more likely to happen without us saving and investing more on the margin. It’s probably worth ensuring a decent sum of money is saved and invested for this possibility, though.
Your 4 priorities seem reasonable to me. I might aim 2, 3 and 4 primarily at potentially extremely high payoff interventions, e.g. s-risks. They should beat 1 in expectation, and we should have plausible models for how they could.