My understanding of what’s happening is, more or less, “~everyone who’s willing to bite the bullet on anti-aging being higher EV than GH&D is wiling to bite the further bullet on X-risk reduction being higher EV than both”. I could imagine some combination of views leading to thinking anti-aging is the highest impact – for instance, someone who subscribed to all of: person-affecting view, longtermism, and long AI timelines – but that’s a pretty unusual combination.
My understanding of what’s happening is, more or less, “~everyone who’s willing to bite the bullet on anti-aging being higher EV than GH&D is wiling to bite the further bullet on X-risk reduction being higher EV than both”. I could imagine some combination of views leading to thinking anti-aging is the highest impact – for instance, someone who subscribed to all of: person-affecting view, longtermism, and long AI timelines – but that’s a pretty unusual combination.