When (if ever) will marijuana be legal for recreational use, or effectively so, across all 50 US states?
Here’s my prediction. Based on this timeline, I started out thinking it would be quite a while (10+ years) before all 50 states legalized recreational marijuana. This paper caused a pretty significant update towards thinking that federal legalization was more likely sooner than I had previously thought. I also found this map useful for getting a quick sense of the current status.
Curious what you think—here’s a blank distribution if you want to make your own.
Yeah — this seems pretty reasonable to me. I’d not thought about this explicitly before, but the rough numbers/boundaries you provide seem quite plausible!