Here’s my prediction. Based on this timeline, I started out thinking it would be quite a while (10+ years) before all 50 states legalized recreational marijuana. This paper caused a pretty significant update towards thinking that federal legalization was more likely sooner than I had previously thought. I also found this map useful for getting a quick sense of the current status.
Curious what you think—here’s a blank distribution if you want to make your own.
Yeah — this seems pretty reasonable to me. I’d not thought about this explicitly before, but the rough numbers/boundaries you provide seem quite plausible!
When (if ever) will marijuana be legal for recreational use, or effectively so, across all 50 US states?
Here’s my prediction. Based on this timeline, I started out thinking it would be quite a while (10+ years) before all 50 states legalized recreational marijuana. This paper caused a pretty significant update towards thinking that federal legalization was more likely sooner than I had previously thought. I also found this map useful for getting a quick sense of the current status.
Curious what you think—here’s a blank distribution if you want to make your own.
Yeah — this seems pretty reasonable to me. I’d not thought about this explicitly before, but the rough numbers/boundaries you provide seem quite plausible!