Here’s my prediction! My median is October 3, 2020. If you want to keep checking in on this, the Bureau of Consular Affairs is helpfully tracking their passport backlog and how many they’re processing each week here.
Thanks! Yes it is. All I had been doing was looking at that passport backlog, but I hadn’t made a model based on it. It’s discouraging to see so much probability mass on December, but not too surprising...
Here’s my prediction! My median is October 3, 2020. If you want to keep checking in on this, the Bureau of Consular Affairs is helpfully tracking their passport backlog and how many they’re processing each week here.
Was this in line with what you were expecting?
Thanks! Yes it is. All I had been doing was looking at that passport backlog, but I hadn’t made a model based on it. It’s discouraging to see so much probability mass on December, but not too surprising...
Amazing, splendiforously wonderful news! The passport arrived TODAY, August 7!