The argument I’ve seen is the opposite, that considering cluelessness favors longtermism instead of undermining it (“therefore consider donating to LTFF”, Greaves tentatively suggests).
I am however more sympathetic to Michael’s skepticism that it’s often hard for me in practice to tell longtermist interventions apart from PlayPump (other than funding d/acc-flavored fieldbuilding maybe), but maybe JWS’s reasoning is different.
Also “cluelessness” seems underspecified in forum discussions cf. this discussion thread so I wouldn’t be surprised if you and JWS are talking about different things.
The argument I’ve seen is the opposite, that considering cluelessness favors longtermism instead of undermining it (“therefore consider donating to LTFF”, Greaves tentatively suggests).
I am however more sympathetic to Michael’s skepticism that it’s often hard for me in practice to tell longtermist interventions apart from PlayPump (other than funding d/acc-flavored fieldbuilding maybe), but maybe JWS’s reasoning is different.
Also “cluelessness” seems underspecified in forum discussions cf. this discussion thread so I wouldn’t be surprised if you and JWS are talking about different things.