I would hypothetically use it, but I expect that on almost every issue there will be people both to the left and to the right of me who would rather bet with each other than bet with me, so I won’t end up making any bets. I think a marketplace like this would be most useful for people with outlier beliefs.
(There might be some way of resolving this problem, I haven’t really thought about it.)
I would hypothetically use it, but I expect that on almost every issue there will be people both to the left and to the right of me who would rather bet with each other than bet with me, so I won’t end up making any bets. I think a marketplace like this would be most useful for people with outlier beliefs.
(There might be some way of resolving this problem, I haven’t really thought about it.)
but if there’s one person to your right and two to your left, then one of them wants to bet with you, right?
(stylised example, hopefully you get what I mean)