I am surprised that you don’t understand Eliezer’s comments in this thread. I claim you’d do better to donate $X to PauseAI now than lock up $2X which you will never see again (plus lock up more for overcollateralization) in order to get $X to PauseAI now.
Did you follow the thread(s) all the way to theend? I do see the overcollateralized part of the lock-up again. And I’m planning on holding ~50% long term (i.e. past 5 years) because I’m on ~50% that we make it past then.
Alas, Eliezer did not answer my question at the end.
No. I can only get crypto-backed loans (e.g. Aave). Currently on ~10% interest; no guarantee they won’t go above 15% over 5 years + counterparty risk to my collateral.
I am surprised that you don’t understand Eliezer’s comments in this thread. I claim you’d do better to donate $X to PauseAI now than lock up $2X which you will never see again (plus lock up more for overcollateralization) in order to get $X to PauseAI now.
Did you follow the thread(s) all the way to the end? I do see the overcollateralized part of the lock-up again. And I’m planning on holding ~50% long term (i.e. past 5 years) because I’m on ~50% that we make it past then.
Alas, Eliezer did not answer my question at the end.
@EliezerYudkowsky
You can’t get loans at better rates, accounting for your P(doom) (and/or without setting aside as much collateral)?
No. I can only get crypto-backed loans (e.g. Aave). Currently on ~10% interest; no guarantee they won’t go above 15% over 5 years + counterparty risk to my collateral.