Yes. Also another consideration is that I expect my high risk investing strategy to return >200% over the time in question, in worlds where we survive (all it would take is 1⁄10 of my start-up investments to blow up, for example, or crypto going up another >2x).
Thanks for asking!
Greg thinks a given amount of money can do more good in 2024 than at the end of 2027:
In addition, Greg does not expect to lose much money, since 10 k$ plus a 50 % chance of losing 20 k$ equals 0[1].
In reality, Greg’s median time of human extinction is a little after January 2028, so he expects to lose a little bit of money.
Yes. Also another consideration is that I expect my high risk investing strategy to return >200% over the time in question, in worlds where we survive (all it would take is 1⁄10 of my start-up investments to blow up, for example, or crypto going up another >2x).