Thanks for the post.
In the follow up reading, this link points to the wrong place:
80,000 Hours — A framework for comparing global problems in terms of expected impact
It should point here: https://80000hours.org/articles/problem-framework/#how-to-assess-how-neglected-a-problem-is
On that page there’s a brief discussion of the possibility of convex production functions:
There are some mechanisms by which problem areas can see increasing returns rather than diminishing returns. However, we think there are good theoretical and empirical arguments that diminishing returns are the norm, and that returns most likely diminish logarithmically. Increasing returns might hold at very small scales within problem areas, though we’re not even sure about that due to the value of information benefits mentioned above. (Increasing returns seem more likely to be common within organisations rather than problem areas.)
Thanks for the post.
In the follow up reading, this link points to the wrong place:
It should point here: https://80000hours.org/articles/problem-framework/#how-to-assess-how-neglected-a-problem-is
On that page there’s a brief discussion of the possibility of convex production functions: