FWIW I think superlinear returns are plausible even for research problems with long timelines, I’d just guess that the returns are less superlinear, and that it’s harder to increase the number of work hours for deep intellectual work. So I quite strongly agree with your original point.
FWIW I think superlinear returns are plausible even for research problems with long timelines, I’d just guess that the returns are less superlinear, and that it’s harder to increase the number of work hours for deep intellectual work. So I quite strongly agree with your original point.