There is an inherent aim in this project to bring to surface salient data that can be recombined and organized for a radically new information-based layer of decision making
But there are some pros and cons to crowd source, you get stability & good work (wikipedia) but your signal-to-noise is bounded by the leaders or organizing principles of legitimacy. there will be factions that develop trying to skew data with some bias, making the overall project less legitimate even though there’s transparency.
what is the target size of individuals working on this project? is there a definite or indefinite timeline or termination of this project? what can be learned about governance structure to isolate the distractions and optimize the bandwidth of the participants?
Currently there are 4 people (including me) working on the project. I focus on coordination, the other three are professional forecasters and focus on the data collection. At the moment we’re aiming for wide feedback from anyone who would be interested in certain base rates, but we’re not actively crowd-sourcing the collection process.
There is an inherent aim in this project to bring to surface salient data that can be recombined and organized for a radically new information-based layer of decision making
But there are some pros and cons to crowd source, you get stability & good work (wikipedia) but your signal-to-noise is bounded by the leaders or organizing principles of legitimacy. there will be factions that develop trying to skew data with some bias, making the overall project less legitimate even though there’s transparency.
what is the target size of individuals working on this project?
is there a definite or indefinite timeline or termination of this project?
what can be learned about governance structure to isolate the distractions and optimize the bandwidth of the participants?
Currently there are 4 people (including me) working on the project. I focus on coordination, the other three are professional forecasters and focus on the data collection. At the moment we’re aiming for wide feedback from anyone who would be interested in certain base rates, but we’re not actively crowd-sourcing the collection process.