It seems very implausible that there will be any low-income countries (~$1,100 per capita GDP or less) in 50 years that are not currently low-income countries. So, donating to people in low-income countries now is a sure thing.
You can make a slightly more complicated version of the rational preference argument to also answer this objection, but that added twist seems like an unnecessary complication, given what I just said above.
What about counties that exit low income in the next fifty years. Unde your assumptions and framework, we can be sure that we won’t accidentally exclude a future low income country, but we can’t be sure we won’t fail to select a future low income country.
It seems very implausible that there will be any low-income countries (~$1,100 per capita GDP or less) in 50 years that are not currently low-income countries. So, donating to people in low-income countries now is a sure thing.
You can make a slightly more complicated version of the rational preference argument to also answer this objection, but that added twist seems like an unnecessary complication, given what I just said above.
What about counties that exit low income in the next fifty years. Unde your assumptions and framework, we can be sure that we won’t accidentally exclude a future low income country, but we can’t be sure we won’t fail to select a future low income country.