In the spirit of trying to really engage with the question and figure out ground truth, maybe it’s worth making a quick CBA or guesstimate model based on your general views for “Unlike George, my instinct is that e.g. a team retreat for an EA Group is likely to produce considerably less impact than spending the money on bednets or other GiveWell top charities” and then we can debate specifics and maybe come to better heuristics about this kind of thing. I’d be excited to see what numbers your intuition puts on things.
In the spirit of trying to really engage with the question and figure out ground truth, maybe it’s worth making a quick CBA or guesstimate model based on your general views for “Unlike George, my instinct is that e.g. a team retreat for an EA Group is likely to produce considerably less impact than spending the money on bednets or other GiveWell top charities” and then we can debate specifics and maybe come to better heuristics about this kind of thing. I’d be excited to see what numbers your intuition puts on things.
Completely agree. I will write something about this tomorrow