Ten Fermi estimation questions to help you train your estimation skills. Play solo, or with a team—e.g. with friends, coworkers, or your EA group (see info for organisers).
It’s also worth checking the archive for other estimation games you might be interested in, e.g. we’ve ran games on AI, animal welfare + alt proteins, nuclear risk, and big picture history.
This month’s Estimation Game is about effective altruism! You can play here: quantifiedintuitions.org/estimation-game/december
Ten Fermi estimation questions to help you train your estimation skills. Play solo, or with a team—e.g. with friends, coworkers, or your EA group (see info for organisers).
It’s also worth checking the archive for other estimation games you might be interested in, e.g. we’ve ran games on AI, animal welfare + alt proteins, nuclear risk, and big picture history.
Tough confidence interval questions this round (at least to me).
The June Estimation Game is animal welfare + alt proteins themed! 10 Fermi estimation questions. You can play here: quantifiedintuitions.org/estimation-game/june
The July Estimation Game is now live: a 10 question Fermi estimation game all about big picture history! https://quantifiedintuitions.org/estimation-game/july
Question 1: