Ok, so for me, the takeaway and socially best message (for a proponent of S-risk) is probably:
“For strong ideas/founders/leaders, there is ample funding for top new initiatives in S-risk.”
Also, if you might revise this with “15 minutes of thought”, that implies that you wrote this detailed, thoughtful comment in comparable time, which seems really impressive.
Haha, no, it took me quite a bit longer to phrase what I wrote but I didn’t have dedicated non-writing thinking time, e.g. the claim about the expected ratio of future assets seems like something I could sanity check + get a better number for with a pen and pencil and a few minutes but I was too lazy to do that :)
(And I can’t let false praise of me stand)
edit to also comment on the substantial part of your comment: Yes, that takeaway seems good to me!
edit edit: Although I’d caveat that s-risk is less mature than general longtermism (more “pre-paradigmatic” for people who like that word), so there might be less (obvious) to do for founders/leaders right now and that can be very frustrating. We still always want to hear about such people.
last edit?: And as in general longtermism, if somebody is interested in s-risk and has really high EtG potential, I might sometimes prefer that. Especially given what I said above about founder/leader type people. Something within an order of magnitude or two of FTX F for s-risk reduction would obviously be a huge win for the space and I don’t think it’s crazy to think that people could achieve that.
Wow, thanks for the reply!
Ok, so for me, the takeaway and socially best message (for a proponent of S-risk) is probably:
“For strong ideas/founders/leaders, there is ample funding for top new initiatives in S-risk.”
Also, if you might revise this with “15 minutes of thought”, that implies that you wrote this detailed, thoughtful comment in comparable time, which seems really impressive.
Haha, no, it took me quite a bit longer to phrase what I wrote but I didn’t have dedicated non-writing thinking time, e.g. the claim about the expected ratio of future assets seems like something I could sanity check + get a better number for with a pen and pencil and a few minutes but I was too lazy to do that :)
(And I can’t let false praise of me stand)
edit to also comment on the substantial part of your comment: Yes, that takeaway seems good to me!
edit edit: Although I’d caveat that s-risk is less mature than general longtermism (more “pre-paradigmatic” for people who like that word), so there might be less (obvious) to do for founders/leaders right now and that can be very frustrating. We still always want to hear about such people.
last edit?: And as in general longtermism, if somebody is interested in s-risk and has really high EtG potential, I might sometimes prefer that. Especially given what I said above about founder/leader type people. Something within an order of magnitude or two of FTX F for s-risk reduction would obviously be a huge win for the space and I don’t think it’s crazy to think that people could achieve that.