I think that we can all agree that the analysis was done in an atypical way (perhaps for good reason), that it was not as rigorous as many people expected, and that it had a series of omissions or made atypical analytical moves that (perhaps inadvertently) made SM look better than it will look once that stuff is addressed. I don’t think anyone can speak yet to the magnitude of the adjustment when the analysis is done better or in a standard way.
But I’d welcome especially Joel’s response to this question. It’s a critical question and it’s worth hearing his take.
That’s so reasonable.
I think that we can all agree that the analysis was done in an atypical way (perhaps for good reason), that it was not as rigorous as many people expected, and that it had a series of omissions or made atypical analytical moves that (perhaps inadvertently) made SM look better than it will look once that stuff is addressed. I don’t think anyone can speak yet to the magnitude of the adjustment when the analysis is done better or in a standard way.
But I’d welcome especially Joel’s response to this question. It’s a critical question and it’s worth hearing his take.