Since I wrote this essay, I have come to realize my critique that is based on the reflexive instability of predictive models may in fact be considered a general criticism directed at utilitarianism, therefore violates the promise that I argue against the CSL paper’s claims on its own terms, accepting utilitarianism. In addition, my criticism on the plausibility of extreme durations of non-extinction persistent states may not matter much as well. Even less plausible scenarios may be of significance due to the high utility (in expectation) that’s at stake.
Currently, it appears difficult to criticize CSL’s claims without directing one’s criticism at utilitarianism itself.
Since I wrote this essay, I have come to realize my critique that is based on the reflexive instability of predictive models may in fact be considered a general criticism directed at utilitarianism, therefore violates the promise that I argue against the CSL paper’s claims on its own terms, accepting utilitarianism. In addition, my criticism on the plausibility of extreme durations of non-extinction persistent states may not matter much as well. Even less plausible scenarios may be of significance due to the high utility (in expectation) that’s at stake.
Currently, it appears difficult to criticize CSL’s claims without directing one’s criticism at utilitarianism itself.