There is an author who has done a top down analysis using a modification of Gott’s estimator . Prospects for Human Survival: Wells, Willard H. It is grounded in numerical methods. He also has an earlier treatment,Apocalypse When?: Calculating How Long the Human Race Will Survive.
His methods are more refined than any I have checked in your table.
There is an author who has done a top down analysis using a modification of Gott’s estimator . Prospects for Human Survival: Wells, Willard H. It is grounded in numerical methods. He also has an earlier treatment,Apocalypse When?: Calculating How Long the Human Race Will Survive.
His methods are more refined than any I have checked in your table.