Executive summary: AI Clarity outlines a research agenda using scenario planning to explore possible AI futures and identify strategies to mitigate existential risks from advanced AI.
Key points:
Transformative AI (TAI) could emerge within 10 years according to some experts, leaving little time for society to prepare and adapt.
Key uncertainties in TAI governance include the magnitude of existential risk, threat models, and optimal risk mitigation strategies.
AI Clarity will use scenario planning to explore a wide range of AI futures, encompassing technical and societal aspects of AI development.
The research will identify threat models, theories of victory, key parameters differentiating scenarios, and high-impact intervention points.
Insights will be shared through blog posts to enable feedback from the AI research and policy communities, with the goal of improving decision making on AI safety and governance.
Potential downside risks, such as accelerating dangerous AI development, will be mitigated through adaptive research practices and controlled information sharing.
This comment was auto-generated by the EA Forum Team. Feel free to point out issues with this summary by replying to the comment, andcontact us if you have feedback.
Executive summary: AI Clarity outlines a research agenda using scenario planning to explore possible AI futures and identify strategies to mitigate existential risks from advanced AI.
Key points:
Transformative AI (TAI) could emerge within 10 years according to some experts, leaving little time for society to prepare and adapt.
Key uncertainties in TAI governance include the magnitude of existential risk, threat models, and optimal risk mitigation strategies.
AI Clarity will use scenario planning to explore a wide range of AI futures, encompassing technical and societal aspects of AI development.
The research will identify threat models, theories of victory, key parameters differentiating scenarios, and high-impact intervention points.
Insights will be shared through blog posts to enable feedback from the AI research and policy communities, with the goal of improving decision making on AI safety and governance.
Potential downside risks, such as accelerating dangerous AI development, will be mitigated through adaptive research practices and controlled information sharing.
This comment was auto-generated by the EA Forum Team. Feel free to point out issues with this summary by replying to the comment, and contact us if you have feedback.