Executive summary: The author shares key insights from several books on nuclear weapons and Cold War history that are relevant for thinking about AI governance today.
Key points:
Estimates of technology riskiness are vulnerable to political and economic pressures.
Policy change requires leaders to deeply understand and prioritize an issue.
Technology can change global politics in unpredictable ways.
Empathy and understanding rival perspectives is critical in international relations.
Leaders face domestic political constraints even if personally motivated.
Outside demographic and economic analyses can sometimes outperform domain experts.
This comment was auto-generated by the EA Forum Team. Feel free to point out issues with this summary by replying to the comment, andcontact us if you have feedback.
Executive summary: The author shares key insights from several books on nuclear weapons and Cold War history that are relevant for thinking about AI governance today.
Key points:
Estimates of technology riskiness are vulnerable to political and economic pressures.
Policy change requires leaders to deeply understand and prioritize an issue.
Technology can change global politics in unpredictable ways.
Empathy and understanding rival perspectives is critical in international relations.
Leaders face domestic political constraints even if personally motivated.
Outside demographic and economic analyses can sometimes outperform domain experts.
This comment was auto-generated by the EA Forum Team. Feel free to point out issues with this summary by replying to the comment, and contact us if you have feedback.