Sounds like he’d be good to have at the debate! But it seems very unlikely he’ll make the first one in a few weeks time. There seem to be 3 requirements to qualify for the first debate:
(from 538) “they must earn 1 percent support in three national polls, or in two national polls and two polls from the first four states voting in the GOP primary, each coming from separate states, based on polls recognized by the RNC and conducted in July and August before the debate.”
(from 538) “Meanwhile, a candidate must also attain at least 40,000 unique donors, with at least 200 contributors from 20 or more states and/or territories.”
It sounds like he needs a big boost from somewhere—maybe if e.g. Elon Musk were to tweet about him and endorse his position on AI that would get him there (and convince him to change his mind re 1, though I’m not sure briefly speaking about AI alignment justifies this)?!
Sounds like he’d be good to have at the debate! But it seems very unlikely he’ll make the first one in a few weeks time. There seem to be 3 requirements to qualify for the first debate:
Pledge support for the eventual nominee. Hurd has said he won’t do this.
(from 538) “they must earn 1 percent support in three national polls, or in two national polls and two polls from the first four states voting in the GOP primary, each coming from separate states, based on polls recognized by the RNC and conducted in July and August before the debate.”
“As of Sunday [July 23rd], he had only one qualifying poll to his name...”
(from 538) “Meanwhile, a candidate must also attain at least 40,000 unique donors, with at least 200 contributors from 20 or more states and/or territories.”
″..and said last week that he was about one-fifth of the way to 40,000 contributors”
It sounds like he needs a big boost from somewhere—maybe if e.g. Elon Musk were to tweet about him and endorse his position on AI that would get him there (and convince him to change his mind re 1, though I’m not sure briefly speaking about AI alignment justifies this)?!