Thanks. Yeah, I see a lot of disagreement votes. I was being too hyperbolic for the EA Forum. But I do put ~80% on it (which I guess translates to “pretty much”?), with the remaining ~20% being longer timelines, or dumb luck of one kind or another that we can’t actually influence.
Thanks. Yeah, I see a lot of disagreement votes. I was being too hyperbolic for the EA Forum. But I do put ~80% on it (which I guess translates to “pretty much”?), with the remaining ~20% being longer timelines, or dumb luck of one kind or another that we can’t actually influence.