Reduces company incentive to dangerously race to build AI (also increases government incentive to do that, but governments don’t really respond to incentives in the same way)
Alleviates economic disenfranchisement due to AI displacing human workers (I’m more concerned about x-risk but this still matters more than zero)
Cons:
Right now the general public hates AI. Putting everyone in a position to make money off AI might change that, and make it harder to get the safety regulations we actually need (this argument sounds right to me, but it also sounds suspiciously like accelerationism)
Something about government overreach stifling capitalism (this is a real concern but it’s dwarfed by x-risk concerns)
RE the first con, my guess is that people will still hate AI even if they stand to make money off it via a SWF. As a basic test, you could look at AI favorability among people who do vs. don’t have 401(k)s / retirement funds (which almost always include some investments in AI), although this test would probably be confounded by wealth and job stability, so there’s probably a better test.
Pros:
Reduces company incentive to dangerously race to build AI (also increases government incentive to do that, but governments don’t really respond to incentives in the same way)
Alleviates economic disenfranchisement due to AI displacing human workers (I’m more concerned about x-risk but this still matters more than zero)
Cons:
Right now the general public hates AI. Putting everyone in a position to make money off AI might change that, and make it harder to get the safety regulations we actually need (this argument sounds right to me, but it also sounds suspiciously like accelerationism)
Something about government overreach stifling capitalism (this is a real concern but it’s dwarfed by x-risk concerns)
Neither-pro-nor-con:
Has basically nothing to do with x-risk
RE the first con, my guess is that people will still hate AI even if they stand to make money off it via a SWF. As a basic test, you could look at AI favorability among people who do vs. don’t have 401(k)s / retirement funds (which almost always include some investments in AI), although this test would probably be confounded by wealth and job stability, so there’s probably a better test.