There may be reasons why building such 100m+ projects are different both from many smaller “hits based” funding of Open Phil projects (as a high chance of failure is unacceptable) and also different than the GiveWell-style interventions.
One reason is that orgs like OpenAI and CSET require such scale just to get started, e.g. to interest the people involved
This sounds like CSET is a 100m+ project. Their OpenPhil grant was for $11m/year for 5 years, and wikipedia says they got a couple of millions from other sources, so my guess is they’re currently spending like $10m-$20m / year.
This sounds like CSET is a 100m+ project. Their OpenPhil grant was for $11m/year for 5 years, and wikipedia says they got a couple of millions from other sources, so my guess is they’re currently spending like $10m-$20m / year.
Yes, I wouldn’t say CSET is a mega project, though more CSET-like things would also be amazing.
Thank you for pointing this out.
You are right, and I think maybe even a reasonable guess is that CSET funding is starting out at less than 10M a year.