The notion of long-term vs. short-term existential risk appears to provide a compelling argument for prioritizing longtermist institutional reform over x-risk reduction.
I think a portfolio approach is helpful here. Obviously the overall EA portfolio is going to assign nonzero shares to both short-term and long-term risks (with shares determined by equalizing marginal utility per dollar across causes). This framing avoids fights over which cause is the “top priority”.
I think a portfolio approach is helpful here. Obviously the overall EA portfolio is going to assign nonzero shares to both short-term and long-term risks (with shares determined by equalizing marginal utility per dollar across causes). This framing avoids fights over which cause is the “top priority”.