Executive summary: Regulatory cost-benefit analysis (CBA) requirements are unlikely to stop frontier AI regulations in the US, though there are some uncertainties around judicial review and potential changes in administration.
Key points:
Federal agencies must conduct CBAs for large regulations, but these are often superficial and don’t substantially influence the regulation.
The Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA) reviews CBAs but rarely causes regulations to be withdrawn, especially under pro-regulatory administrations.
Courts can scrutinize CBAs but generally defer to agencies unless choices are clearly unreasonable.
Unpredictable judges appointed during the Trump administration create some uncertainty around judicial review of CBAs.
Changes in administration could alter how OIRA and courts approach CBA review, potentially making it a more significant hurdle.
Overall, CBA requirements are unlikely to stop frontier AI regulations, but there are some areas of uncertainty.
This comment was auto-generated by the EA Forum Team. Feel free to point out issues with this summary by replying to the comment, andcontact us if you have feedback.
Executive summary: Regulatory cost-benefit analysis (CBA) requirements are unlikely to stop frontier AI regulations in the US, though there are some uncertainties around judicial review and potential changes in administration.
Key points:
Federal agencies must conduct CBAs for large regulations, but these are often superficial and don’t substantially influence the regulation.
The Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA) reviews CBAs but rarely causes regulations to be withdrawn, especially under pro-regulatory administrations.
Courts can scrutinize CBAs but generally defer to agencies unless choices are clearly unreasonable.
Unpredictable judges appointed during the Trump administration create some uncertainty around judicial review of CBAs.
Changes in administration could alter how OIRA and courts approach CBA review, potentially making it a more significant hurdle.
Overall, CBA requirements are unlikely to stop frontier AI regulations, but there are some areas of uncertainty.
This comment was auto-generated by the EA Forum Team. Feel free to point out issues with this summary by replying to the comment, and contact us if you have feedback.