Something like give well (evidence based, reasoning transparency) but…
Rates a broader set of charities, not shying away from cross-cause and “US versus internationally operating” charity comparisons
Explicitly models (calibrated) uncertainty
– makes a pitch to a broader audience, and prominently comparing impact ratings of popular charities To each other, and to more effective ones… To get people thinking about this and to get charities to offer better evidence and compete on this basis
Assuming this is a good idea (which it might be), it seems to me like the bottle neck would be something like “generate impact evaluations” (or some meta like “decide which impact evaluations to do” or “where to publicize them”)
The software aspect could probably be done in wordpress/wix/squarespace, with zero code. Or if the amount of charities evaluated becomes huge (which seems unlikely given what I estimate to be the bottle neck) then maybe add an element made of airtable/monday (still zero code).
Anyway, if this project becomes somewhat real and has any bottle neck around software, I will almost surely be happy to resolve it myself (including writing custom software if that’s the reasonable thing to do), just let me know
Thanks. I think the impact evaluations, meta analysis and montecarlo/fermi estimate are probably the bottleneck. Some statistical and simulation coding may be relevant
As a POC, perhaps you could write a post in your favorite social media comparing the impact of popular charities to more effective ones and see how that goes.
I personally do not expect that merely having high quality evidence would be enough to change people’s minds
And if you somehow are able to write a post like that which convinces people, I’d send you to CEA or some similar organization which will hopefully find a good use for your talents
Something like give well (evidence based, reasoning transparency) but…
Rates a broader set of charities, not shying away from cross-cause and “US versus internationally operating” charity comparisons
Explicitly models (calibrated) uncertainty
– makes a pitch to a broader audience, and prominently comparing impact ratings of popular charities To each other, and to more effective ones… To get people thinking about this and to get charities to offer better evidence and compete on this basis
Rereading your post, I’m not sure if my suggestion is primarily software—driven.
(I somehow missed this comment before, sorry!)
Assuming this is a good idea (which it might be), it seems to me like the bottle neck would be something like “generate impact evaluations” (or some meta like “decide which impact evaluations to do” or “where to publicize them”)
The software aspect could probably be done in wordpress/wix/squarespace, with zero code. Or if the amount of charities evaluated becomes huge (which seems unlikely given what I estimate to be the bottle neck) then maybe add an element made of airtable/monday (still zero code).
Anyway, if this project becomes somewhat real and has any bottle neck around software, I will almost surely be happy to resolve it myself (including writing custom software if that’s the reasonable thing to do), just let me know
Thanks. I think the impact evaluations, meta analysis and montecarlo/fermi estimate are probably the bottleneck. Some statistical and simulation coding may be relevant
As a POC, perhaps you could write a post in your favorite social media comparing the impact of popular charities to more effective ones and see how that goes.
I personally do not expect that merely having high quality evidence would be enough to change people’s minds
And if you somehow are able to write a post like that which convinces people, I’d send you to CEA or some similar organization which will hopefully find a good use for your talents