Correction: Metaculus’s currency is just called “points”, tachyons are something else. Aside from that, I have double-checked, and it definitely is a play-money prediction market (well, is it wrong to call it a prediction market it’s not structured as an exchange, even if it has the same mechanics?) (Edit: I was missing the fact that, though there are assets, they are not staked when you make a prediction), and you do in fact earn points by winning bets.
and have an excellent forecasting track record
I’m concerned that the bettors here may be the types who have spent most of their points on questions that wont close for decades. Metaculus has existed for less than one decade, so that demographic, if it’s a thing, actually wouldn’t have any track record.
Correction: Metaculus’s currency is just called “points”, tachyons are something else. Aside from that, I have double-checked, and
it definitely is a play-money prediction market(well, is it wrong to call it a prediction market it’s not structured as an exchange, even ifit has the same mechanics?) (Edit: I was missing the fact that, though there are assets, they are not staked when you make a prediction), and you do in fact earn points by winning bets.I’m concerned that the bettors here may be the types who have spent most of their points on questions that wont close for decades. Metaculus has existed for less than one decade, so that demographic, if it’s a thing, actually wouldn’t have any track record.