I don’t have any knowledge that would add to this discussion.
With that personal limitation in mind, what you said you seems very informative and useful, including the composition of what fraction of people are poorly updating. The experience you express here about forecasting and other belief updating seems enormous.
Thank you for this thoughtful reply.
I don’t have any knowledge that would add to this discussion.
With that personal limitation in mind, what you said you seems very informative and useful, including the composition of what fraction of people are poorly updating. The experience you express here about forecasting and other belief updating seems enormous.