Hayven—there’s a huge, huge middle ground between reckless e/acc ASI accelerationism on the one hand, and stagnation on the other hand.
I can imagine a moratorium on further AGI research that still allows awesome progress on all kinds of wonderful technologies such as longevity, (local) space colonization, geoengineering, etc—none of which require AGI.
We can certainly research those things, but using purely human efforts (no AI) progress will likely take many decades to see even modest gains. From a longtermist perspective that’s not a problem of course, but it’s a difficult thing to sell to someone not excited about living what is essentially a 20th century life so we can make progress long after they are gone. A ban on AI should come with a cultural shift toward a much less individualistic, less present-oriented value set.
Hayven—there’s a huge, huge middle ground between reckless e/acc ASI accelerationism on the one hand, and stagnation on the other hand.
I can imagine a moratorium on further AGI research that still allows awesome progress on all kinds of wonderful technologies such as longevity, (local) space colonization, geoengineering, etc—none of which require AGI.
We can certainly research those things, but using purely human efforts (no AI) progress will likely take many decades to see even modest gains. From a longtermist perspective that’s not a problem of course, but it’s a difficult thing to sell to someone not excited about living what is essentially a 20th century life so we can make progress long after they are gone. A ban on AI should come with a cultural shift toward a much less individualistic, less present-oriented value set.