This is useful but doesnt entirely answer William’s question. To put it another way: suppose GiveDirectly reduced extreme poverty in East Africa by 50%. What would your best estimate of the effect of that on xrisk be? I’d expect it to be quite positive, but havent thought about how to estimate the magnitude.
This is useful but doesnt entirely answer William’s question. To put it another way: suppose GiveDirectly reduced extreme poverty in East Africa by 50%. What would your best estimate of the effect of that on xrisk be? I’d expect it to be quite positive, but havent thought about how to estimate the magnitude.