I don’t see how objections about methodology would be mooted merely because the audience knows that the methodology is disputed.
That’s not what I’m saying at all. How is a suggestion to include a disclaimer an objection about methodology? It is not that unclear. Am I being read?
If they are weighted appropriately, they will only shuffle them when it is good to do so.
What is the methodology for determining the weights?
Then why do you want me to flip coins or leave things to the reader’s judgement...?
Because leaving decision to chance in face of uncertainty may sometimes be a good strategy? And I suggest leaving things to the reader’s judgement when there is still considerable uncertainty / insufficient evidence for taking any position? Am I being considered at all, or have you just decided to take a hostile position for some reason...?
I recently removed that statement from the document because I decided it’s an inaccurate characterization.
I agree.
This also contradicts the wish for a model that is objective.
Again, nowhere have I expressed that wish.
… really means making no assumptions on controversial topics, and incomplete.
I agree.
… issues are generally not predictive of the value of a term...
That is a vague statement which I didn’t make.
.. yet at the same time you do not want issues in general to have any weight...
Again, never said that. That probably refers to my first post where I was talking about general EA position, which is moot once you include a disclaimer.
However, I apologize for not taking the time to do at least some research before making a comment. I am not versed in political science at all. Your model (or its future version) may be very well justifiable. I have some experience in game theory which maybe made me biased to see the problem more complicated than it is at first, and, even more importantly, I also have a truckload of other biases I should try to become more aware of. For example, I thought that if you take a random politician pre-election promise on a random topic, that it is likely going to be left unadressed or broken given they are elected, due to lack of accountability and attempt to appeal (I know some examples of which that happened in the past, which of course doesn’t at all mean it’s likely). A quick research showed this was probably wrong, so again, I apologize.
I will do some research and thinking when I have time and come back when I have some (hopefully) more informed ideas, and definitely do that in the future. I don’t retract the objections which don’t rely on unpredictability of decisions, however.
That’s not what I’m saying at all. How is a suggestion to include a disclaimer an objection about methodology? It is not that unclear. Am I being read?
What is the methodology for determining the weights?
Because leaving decision to chance in face of uncertainty may sometimes be a good strategy? And I suggest leaving things to the reader’s judgement when there is still considerable uncertainty / insufficient evidence for taking any position? Am I being considered at all, or have you just decided to take a hostile position for some reason...?
I agree.
Again, nowhere have I expressed that wish.
I agree.
That is a vague statement which I didn’t make.
Again, never said that. That probably refers to my first post where I was talking about general EA position, which is moot once you include a disclaimer.
However, I apologize for not taking the time to do at least some research before making a comment. I am not versed in political science at all. Your model (or its future version) may be very well justifiable. I have some experience in game theory which maybe made me biased to see the problem more complicated than it is at first, and, even more importantly, I also have a truckload of other biases I should try to become more aware of. For example, I thought that if you take a random politician pre-election promise on a random topic, that it is likely going to be left unadressed or broken given they are elected, due to lack of accountability and attempt to appeal (I know some examples of which that happened in the past, which of course doesn’t at all mean it’s likely). A quick research showed this was probably wrong, so again, I apologize.
I will do some research and thinking when I have time and come back when I have some (hopefully) more informed ideas, and definitely do that in the future. I don’t retract the objections which don’t rely on unpredictability of decisions, however.