I’d much rather have a CEA that gets important things broadly right and acts swiftly to fix any issues in time, than a CEA that overall gets less done due to risk aversion resulting from pushback from posts like this one, or one that stubbornly sticks to early commitments rather than flexibly adjusting its plans.
Emphasis mine. This reads to me like “it’s bad to criticise organisations for mistakes you think they made, because that will make them more risk averse, and you’ll be to blame”. If that’s a correct interpretation, it seems really bad to me.
I do in fact believe that the claims I make above are mostly correct, and I think I made the claims in a careful and thoughtful way that was responsive to corrections from CEA. If my claims are correct, they should be discussed and corrected for in future events. If they aren’t correct, they should be refuted directly, not attacked on the meta level for letting the side down.
With that sentence, I only meant to suggest that I wouldn’t want CEA to become more risk-averse due to this post (or similar future posts). I didn’t mean to implicitly discourage thoughtful critiques like this one. Sorry if my comment read that way! I also agree with you that CEA should avoid repeating any mistakes that were made.
Emphasis mine. This reads to me like “it’s bad to criticise organisations for mistakes you think they made, because that will make them more risk averse, and you’ll be to blame”. If that’s a correct interpretation, it seems really bad to me.
I do in fact believe that the claims I make above are mostly correct, and I think I made the claims in a careful and thoughtful way that was responsive to corrections from CEA. If my claims are correct, they should be discussed and corrected for in future events. If they aren’t correct, they should be refuted directly, not attacked on the meta level for letting the side down.
With that sentence, I only meant to suggest that I wouldn’t want CEA to become more risk-averse due to this post (or similar future posts). I didn’t mean to implicitly discourage thoughtful critiques like this one. Sorry if my comment read that way! I also agree with you that CEA should avoid repeating any mistakes that were made.
I’ve edited the previous comment to clarify.