I agree that it could be helpful to provide more estimates of the likelihoods of the various scenarios. I’m not sure what to make of a statement like “It is expected that the number of people on the brink of starvation will double from 135 million to 260 million within the next few months”, especially when the WFP quote was “the World Food Programme analysis shows that, due to the Coronavirus, an additional 130 million people could be pushed to the brink of starvation by the end of 2020.” When I see “x could happen”, I don’t understand that to mean “we expect x to happen. Thanks!
I agree that it could be helpful to provide more estimates of the likelihoods of the various scenarios. I’m not sure what to make of a statement like “It is expected that the number of people on the brink of starvation will double from 135 million to 260 million within the next few months”, especially when the WFP quote was “the World Food Programme analysis shows that, due to the Coronavirus, an additional 130 million people could be pushed to the brink of starvation by the end of 2020.” When I see “x could happen”, I don’t understand that to mean “we expect x to happen. Thanks!