Thanks for your comments — I’m glad to hear you’re enjoying the series!
If you have written or do write about how future changes in arsenals may change your conclusions about what scenarios to pay the most attention to, I’d be interested in hearing about it.
I haven’t written about this yet, but I’ll consider working it in as I continue to explore the topic in the next few months. I’ll update this thread if I do.
To what extent do you think the survey you use for the probabilities of particular nuclear scenarios is a reliable source?
I’ll be sharing a post on the probability of a US-Russia nuclear war soon. It talks a little bit about the relative merits and weaknesses of some of these probability estimates.
Hi Kit,
Thanks for your comments — I’m glad to hear you’re enjoying the series!
I haven’t written about this yet, but I’ll consider working it in as I continue to explore the topic in the next few months. I’ll update this thread if I do.
I’ll be sharing a post on the probability of a US-Russia nuclear war soon. It talks a little bit about the relative merits and weaknesses of some of these probability estimates.