I hadn’t considered the unilateralist’s curse and I’ll keep this in mind.
To what extent do you think it’s sustainable to
a) advocate for a centralised system run by trusted professionals VS.
b) building up the capacity of individual funders to recognise activities that are generally seen as problematic/negative EV by cause prioritisation researchers?
Put simply, I wonder if going for a) centralisation would make the ‘system’ fragile because EA donors would be less inclined to build up their awareness of big risks. For those individual donors who’d approach cause-selection with rigour and epistemic humility, I can see b) being antifragile. But for those approaching it amateuristically/sloppily, it makes sense to me that they’re much better off handing over their money and employing their skills elsewhere.
I admit I don’t have a firm grasp of unilateralist’s curse scenarios.
I hadn’t considered the unilateralist’s curse and I’ll keep this in mind.
To what extent do you think it’s sustainable to
a) advocate for a centralised system run by trusted professionals VS.
b) building up the capacity of individual funders to recognise activities that are generally seen as problematic/negative EV by cause prioritisation researchers?
Put simply, I wonder if going for a) centralisation would make the ‘system’ fragile because EA donors would be less inclined to build up their awareness of big risks. For those individual donors who’d approach cause-selection with rigour and epistemic humility, I can see b) being antifragile. But for those approaching it amateuristically/sloppily, it makes sense to me that they’re much better off handing over their money and employing their skills elsewhere.
I admit I don’t have a firm grasp of unilateralist’s curse scenarios.