FWIW, the difference in presidency score here between Biden and the Republican prior (with Biden better) is similar to that between Biden and the best Democratic candidate (although Trump is far worse than the Republican prior or Pence). I think the scores are intended to track expected utility roughly, and the differences between candidates seem pretty significant.
Check out the Excel sheets. They’re still being updated.
FWIW, the difference in presidency score here between Biden and the Republican prior (with Biden better) is similar to that between Biden and the best Democratic candidate (although Trump is far worse than the Republican prior or Pence). I think the scores are intended to track expected utility roughly, and the differences between candidates seem pretty significant.
Check out the Excel sheets. They’re still being updated.