This is assuming that the alignment/control problems are (a) solvable, and (b) solvable in time. I’m sceptical of (a), let alone (b).
None of the regulations you mention (“model registry, chip registry, mandatory red teaming, dangerous model capability evals, model weights security standards, etc.”) matter without at least a conditional Pause when red lines are crossed (and arguably we’ve already crosses many previously stated red lines, with no consequences in terms of slowing down or pausing).
This and the following point are addressed by othercommenters.
This is assuming that the alignment/control problems are (a) solvable, and (b) solvable in time. I’m sceptical of (a), let alone (b).
None of the regulations you mention (“model registry, chip registry, mandatory red teaming, dangerous model capability evals, model weights security standards, etc.”) matter without at least a conditional Pause when red lines are crossed (and arguably we’ve already crosses many previously stated red lines, with no consequences in terms of slowing down or pausing).
This and the following point are addressed by other commenters.
See above.
A lot of us have done our scouting (and continue to do so). The time for action is now (or never). Also, I don’t think your p(doom) has to be super high to conclude that the best course of action is pausing.