Commenters are also confusing ‘should we give PauseAI more money?’ with ‘would it be good if we paused frontier models tomorrow?’
I think it is a reasonable assumption that we only should give PauseAI more money (necessary conditions) if (1) we thought that pausing AI is desirable and (2) PauseAI methods are relatively likely to achieve that outcome, conditioned on having the resources to do so. I would argue that many of the comments highlight that both those assumptions are not clear for many of the forum participants. In fact I think it is reasonable to stress disagreement with (2) in particular.
I think it is a reasonable assumption that we only should give PauseAI more money (necessary conditions) if (1) we thought that pausing AI is desirable and (2) PauseAI methods are relatively likely to achieve that outcome, conditioned on having the resources to do so. I would argue that many of the comments highlight that both those assumptions are not clear for many of the forum participants. In fact I think it is reasonable to stress disagreement with (2) in particular.