Can you explain your expected far future population size? It looks like your upper bound is something like 10 orders of magnitude lower than Bostrom’s most conservative estimates.
That disagreement makes all the other uncertainty look extremely trivial in comparison.
Can you explain your expected far future population size? It looks like your upper bound is something like 10 orders of magnitude lower than Bostrom’s most conservative estimates.
That disagreement makes all the other uncertainty look extremely trivial in comparison.