Strangely it was Superforecasting by Phil Tetlock, which made me start forecasting on Good Judgment Open. I started interacting with forecasters there, and a load of those guys were into EA, and that’s how I got into it. I think a decent number of people have gone from EA (or rationalism) into forecasting but for me it was the other way around.
Strangely it was Superforecasting by Phil Tetlock, which made me start forecasting on Good Judgment Open. I started interacting with forecasters there, and a load of those guys were into EA, and that’s how I got into it. I think a decent number of people have gone from EA (or rationalism) into forecasting but for me it was the other way around.