Executive summary: Humans will likely run out of new jobs to move into when artificial general intelligence (AGI) surpasses human fluid intelligence, enabling AI to learn and perform novel tasks faster than humans.
Key points:
Historical concerns about technological unemployment have often been premature, as human labor has shifted to new tasks.
Automation has been highly beneficial, freeing humans from subsistence farming and other obsolete jobs.
The key factor determining long-term employment is whether humans can keep moving into novel, complex tasks.
AGI with human-level or higher fluid intelligence would end humans’ ability to transition to new jobs faster than they’re automated.
Current AI still has limited fluid intelligence, but its eventual development should be taken seriously.
If AGI surpasses humans, wages may collapse as labor share of income declines sharply.
This comment was auto-generated by the EA Forum Team. Feel free to point out issues with this summary by replying to the comment, andcontact us if you have feedback.
Executive summary: Humans will likely run out of new jobs to move into when artificial general intelligence (AGI) surpasses human fluid intelligence, enabling AI to learn and perform novel tasks faster than humans.
Key points:
Historical concerns about technological unemployment have often been premature, as human labor has shifted to new tasks.
Automation has been highly beneficial, freeing humans from subsistence farming and other obsolete jobs.
The key factor determining long-term employment is whether humans can keep moving into novel, complex tasks.
AGI with human-level or higher fluid intelligence would end humans’ ability to transition to new jobs faster than they’re automated.
Current AI still has limited fluid intelligence, but its eventual development should be taken seriously.
If AGI surpasses humans, wages may collapse as labor share of income declines sharply.
This comment was auto-generated by the EA Forum Team. Feel free to point out issues with this summary by replying to the comment, and contact us if you have feedback.