More Facebook discussion of this post:
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Ronny Fernandez: I think maybe what’s actually going on here is that extraordinary claims usually have much lower prior prob than 10^-6
Genuinely extraordinary claims, not claims that seem weird
More Facebook discussion of this post:
___________________________
Ronny Fernandez: I think maybe what’s actually going on here is that extraordinary claims usually have much lower prior prob than 10^-6
Genuinely extraordinary claims, not claims that seem weird